Caen vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
CAE
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
NIC
3 - 1
CAE
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
STR
1 - 4
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 2
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 2
CAE
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AUX
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
39%
30%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |