Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 2
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
REN
3 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
LIL
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 2
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 2
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 3
PSG
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
DIJ
55%
27%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 2
TFC
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |