Caen vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
CAE
0 - 2
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
RAC
0 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
CAE
3 - 2
MPL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
SOC
5 - 0
CAE
69%
17%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAN
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
SPO
2 - 1
SOC
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
LIL
3 - 0
SPO
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 1
LYO
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
RAC
0 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |