Caen vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
PSG
3 - 0
CAE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
CAE
0 - 1
MPL
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
MET
1 - 0
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
CAE
2 - 3
NAN
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
40%
30%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
GIR
1 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
3 - 0
CAN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1988 |
NAN
0 - 0
SPO
55%
27%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
MET
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |