Caen vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 3
TOU
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAE
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
CAE
6 - 1
CAB
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 2
CAE
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
NÎM
2 - 1
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 3
NÎM
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
NÎM
1 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
DIJ
5 - 1
NÎM
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
NÎM
1 - 0
IST
58%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |