Caen vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 1
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
LHA
2 - 1
CAE
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NÎM
0 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
NÎM
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ASB
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 2
NÎM
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 1
NÎM
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |