Caen vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
LOR
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
SOC
0 - 0
CAE
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
LMU
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 2
QUE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 1
LOR
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ASN
0 - 0
ORL
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 2
DIJ
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 1
TRO
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |