Caen vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CAE
2 - 1
ESW
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
IST
0 - 4
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MET
2 - 1
STL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
SOC
3 - 2
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
31%
28%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
ASN
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
MET
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |