Caen vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
CAE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 4
CAE
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 0
ANG
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 1
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 0
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
26%
28%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |