Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MPL
1 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 2
CAE
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
ETG
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
GUI
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 0
GUI
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 3
LYO
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |