Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
IST
0 - 4
CAE
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 1
TOU
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 1
TFC
41%
29%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
STL
1 - 2
CAE
22%
26%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
LMU
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
STL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
NÎM
2 - 1
GUI
40%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GUI
4 - 3
AUX
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |