Caen vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 4
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 2
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 2
FCG
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAE
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
GUI
3 - 1
LMU
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
3 - 3
GUI
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
GUI
3 - 1
ESW
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
GUI
2 - 2
CSL
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |