Caen vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 1
MPL
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 3
CAE
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 4
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
GAZ
64%
22%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAZ
0 - 1
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
GAZ
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GAZ
0 - 2
ANG
40%
28%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |