Caen vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAE
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 1
NAN
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 2
DIJ
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAE
38%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
GAZ
0 - 1
GUI
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
STL
1 - 2
GAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
GAZ
1 - 3
LMU
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
CLE
0 - 2
GAZ
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GAZ
0 - 1
TOU
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |