Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
LUS
4 - 3
CAE
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRE
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 2
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
FCG
3 - 3
IST
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
REI
1 - 0
FCG
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
STR
2 - 1
FCG
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
FCG
0 - 0
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 1
FCG
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |