Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CLE
2 - 3
CAE
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 2
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
STL
3 - 2
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 1
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
FCG
3 - 2
ASN
40%
27%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ASS
0 - 3
FCG
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 0
ASB
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |