Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAE
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAE
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
LMU
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 1
LMU
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCG
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
FCG
1 - 1
ESW
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
TFC
2 - 0
FCG
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 1
CSL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |