Caen vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
RED
0 - 0
CAE
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 2
NÎM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
TRO
0 - 1
CAE
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 2
LMU
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 3
SED
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 0
GUI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
SED
2 - 1
FCG
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
FCG
3 - 1
AJA
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |