Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 2
CAE
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
LMU
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 0
IST
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ASB
2 - 1
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
NIO
2 - 2
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASB
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ESW
1 - 1
NIO
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |