Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
STL
0 - 2
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
CAE
2 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
CAE
6 - 0
ESW
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
TRO
2 - 1
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
CAE
2 - 2
ASN
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
NIO
3 - 1
ESW
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIO
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
NIO
2 - 1
ASN
37%
30%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
FCM
3 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
NIO
0 - 0
AMI
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |