Caen vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 0
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
LES
75%
18%
8%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 3
LHA
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
PSG
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
GEN
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
EBT
4 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 4
AJA
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |