Caen vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2006 |
AMI
2 - 2
CAE
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
BRE
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
DIJ
0 - 2
CAE
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
FCL
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 1
LUS
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 2
BRE
64%
23%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
REI
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
IST
2 - 2
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 4
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |