Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MPL
5 - 0
CAE
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
4%
10%
87%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
CLE
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ROD
2 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 1
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 2
LEN
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
NIO
0 - 1
AJA
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
AJA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |