Caen vs Ajaccio analysis

Caen Ajaccio
63 ELO 67
-13.5% Tilt -1.2%
1420º General ELO ranking 1367º
42º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Caen
28.8%
Draw
34.4%
Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
Caen
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.4%
Win probability
Ajaccio
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen
-26%
+8%
Ajaccio

ELO progression

Caen
Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2020
MPL
Montpellier
5 - 0
Caen
CAE
75%
17%
8%
64 81 17 0
13 Jan. 2020
LOR
Lorient
2 - 1
Caen
CAE
62%
22%
16%
65 73 8 -1
04 Jan. 2020
GUI
Guichen
1 - 2
Caen
CAE
4%
10%
87%
64 20 44 +1
20 Dec. 2019
CAE
Caen
0 - 0
Clermont
CLE
37%
28%
35%
64 67 3 0
13 Dec. 2019
ROD
Rodez
2 - 1
Caen
CAE
41%
27%
32%
65 64 1 -1

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2020
AJA
Ajaccio
3 - 1
Grenoble
GRE
51%
26%
23%
66 64 2 0
21 Dec. 2019
TRO
Troyes
2 - 1
Ajaccio
AJA
57%
24%
19%
66 72 6 0
14 Dec. 2019
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 2
Lens
LEN
35%
27%
38%
66 70 4 0
03 Dec. 2019
NIO
Niort
0 - 1
Ajaccio
AJA
33%
29%
38%
66 60 6 0
29 Nov. 2019
CHA
Chambly
0 - 2
Ajaccio
AJA
37%
28%
35%
65 61 4 +1