Caen U19 vs RC France U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+295%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
1º
37
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
PSG
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
DKQ
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RC France U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
ORL
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 4
RAP
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
RAP
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +2 |