Caen U19 vs PSG U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
10º
52
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SRA
2 - 0
CAE
13%
16%
71%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
VAL
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 0
DRA
54%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GON
1 - 6
CAE
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PSG U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PSG
7 - 0
GON
93%
5%
2%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
4 - 4
PSG
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
PSG
3 - 1
HAI
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSG
20%
19%
61%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PSG
4 - 0
LIL
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |