Caen U19 vs Lens U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AVR
2 - 1
CAE
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 0
AMI
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAE
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVI
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LMA
0 - 1
LEN
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EVR
0 - 4
LEN
13%
19%
68%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 4
REN
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 0
LEN
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEN
4 - 0
RAC
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |