Caen PTT vs Dives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
13º
7º
36
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AGC
0 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
OIS
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VHO
2 - 2
CAE
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
0 - 1
SAI
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
3 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 0
DIV
44%
22%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 2
LEH
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIV
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |