Caen PTT vs Les Mureaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
13º
7º
25
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 3
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
SAI
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 1
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Les Mureaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LMU
0 - 1
SAI
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 1
LMU
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
LMU
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
0 - 1
CHA
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |