Caen PTT vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
13º
7º
29
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
LMU
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 3
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
SAI
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 1
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 1
SAI
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
LEH
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 2
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 5
LEH
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |