Caen II vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LEH
0 - 3
CAE
41%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 0
RED
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAE
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
PLA
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ORL
1 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
QUE
3 - 0
STA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VCH
1 - 1
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
QUE
6 - 0
PON
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 1
QUC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 2
QUE
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |