Caen II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
VCH
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAE
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PON
0 - 0
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FON
0 - 2
PON
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
PLA
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GDB
1 - 0
PON
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 1
PON
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |