Caen II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PSG
4 - 2
CAE
53%
25%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
QUC
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LAV
3 - 2
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CAE
2 - 1
UJA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAE
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PON
2 - 1
STA
31%
28%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VCH
3 - 0
PON
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
PON
2 - 1
GUI
34%
28%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PON
0 - 0
VIL
22%
27%
50%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 0
PON
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |