Caen II vs Les Mureaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
25
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 2
CAE
26%
21%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
CAE
66%
17%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIV
3 - 2
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
QUE
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 4
ALE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Les Mureaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LMU
2 - 0
OIS
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 2
ALE
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 0
LEH
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VHO
4 - 3
LMU
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 0
LMU
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |