Caen II vs Evreux 27 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
16º
16º
31
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 1
CHA
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
STP
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 2
GRA
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 1
POI
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EVR
2 - 1
SAI
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EVR
1 - 1
BAS
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FCR
3 - 1
EVR
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 4
EVR
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
EVR
3 - 1
POI
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |