Caen II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAE
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EVR
2 - 0
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
ALA
88%
8%
3%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAE
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 1
GON
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FCR
4 - 0
BAY
85%
12%
3%
|
21 | 60 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHE
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 2
AVR
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAY
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |