Caen II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
CAE
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 2
SAI
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
TRE
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 2
FON
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AVR
0 - 0
SAI
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AVR
1 - 3
FON
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 3
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PON
3 - 2
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
AVR
3 - 0
GDB
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |