Caen II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 1
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAV
3 - 3
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
FON
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LAV
1 - 1
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 1
YZE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEM
1 - 1
AVR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |