Caen II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 1
ORL
35%
27%
39%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CAE
3 - 0
SEN
57%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHE
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
AVR
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 1
SAU
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 0
AVR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ORL
1 - 0
AVR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
AVR
1 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |