Caen II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
GON
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAY
77%
14%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAE
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EVR
2 - 0
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AVR
3 - 4
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GON
2 - 0
AVR
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AVR
0 - 0
ALE
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FCR
2 - 1
AVR
85%
12%
3%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AVR
4 - 1
PAM
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |