Caen II vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LMU
4 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
AUB
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CAE
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
QUE
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 1
CAE
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 2
UJA
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
2 - 3
AVR
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
AVO
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BLO
5 - 0
AVR
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 2
TOU
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |