Caen II vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
32
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 1
CAE
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
VHO
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
DIE
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 1
USF
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AGC
0 - 0
ALE
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AGC
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
QUE
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AGC
4 - 2
OIS
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |