Caen II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 1
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
OIS
3 - 0
CAE
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 3
UJA
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |