Caen II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STG
6 - 2
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
SAI
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 1
OIS
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASB
34%
27%
38%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 1
OIS
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DRO
3 - 0
AJA
39%
26%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 0
ASB
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEH
1 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |