Cádiz vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
CAD
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BET
1 - 2
CAD
18%
24%
57%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 0
SPO
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 2
CAD
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 2
LUC
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
LUC
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROQ
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |