Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-0
Cádiz vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
CAD
3 - 0
CFC
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
CCF
2 - 2
CAD
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
JER
0 - 1
CAD
18%
29%
53%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
CAD
1 - 2
OVI
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAD
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
JER
1 - 0
MER
38%
29%
33%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
POZ
4 - 0
JER
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
JER
0 - 1
CAD
18%
29%
53%
|
33 | 72 | 39 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
JER
2 - 0
ILI
68%
20%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PLA
1 - 1
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |