Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Cádiz vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 0
RJA
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 0
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VAD
0 - 0
CAD
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
JER
2 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
EXT
1 - 1
JER
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
JER
4 - 2
BAL
42%
28%
30%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
50%
29%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
3 - 2
JER
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |