Cadetes de San Martin vs Villa del Parque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cadetes de San Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BVI
1 - 1
CSM
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CSM
1 - 0
RAO
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CSM
1 - 1
CDC
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GUT
2 - 2
CSM
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
CDC
2 - 1
CSM
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Villa del Parque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DVP
1 - 0
CDC
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
GUT
3 - 1
DVP
68%
18%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DVP
0 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ALV
0 - 0
DVP
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
5 - 1
DVP
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |