Cáceres EC vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cáceres EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RON
3 - 1
CAC
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
CEC
16%
22%
62%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
AAC
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
URO
1 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
TAN
0 - 4
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MIX
2 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |