Cacerense vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CUI
4 - 1
CEC
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 2
MIX
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CEC
1 - 1
URO
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
RON
1 - 1
CEC
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 3
LUV
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MGR
4 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CUI
2 - 2
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |