Cacerense vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CEC
0 - 0
RON
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
CEC
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
URO
3 - 0
CEC
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
CEC
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
CEC
3 - 0
SOR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
RON
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
VIL
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
AAC
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
URO
1 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |